Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
FAG
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FAG
0 - 1
GIR
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FAG
1 - 2
JUB
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 2
FAG
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
CER
2 - 1
FAG
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 0
JUB
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ZWE
0 - 1
AVI
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
AVI
1 - 1
OIT
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
AVI
0 - 0
VVA
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
KYO
1 - 2
AVI
44%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |