Fagiano Okayama vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
OMI
2 - 1
FAG
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FAG
1 - 1
VEN
29%
30%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
KAR
0 - 1
FAG
74%
18%
8%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FAG
2 - 1
AVI
32%
29%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GIF
2 - 1
FAG
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ALB
1 - 0
MAC
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TOK
1 - 0
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 1
AVI
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
YOK
1 - 2
ALB
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 1
KAR
13%
23%
64%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |