Fagiano Okayama II vs Verspah Oita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HON
2 - 0
FAG
89%
9%
3%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 2
RKD
9%
15%
75%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOC
4 - 0
FAG
62%
19%
20%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
OSA
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAN
3 - 1
FAG
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Verspah Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
RKD
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 0
VER
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
VAN
44%
27%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 3
VER
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |