Fagiano Okayama II vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
77.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
URA
3 - 2
FAG
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
REA
3 - 0
FAG
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MIO
3 - 1
FAG
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FAG
1 - 2
NAR
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
YOK
1 - 0
FAG
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
RKD
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
TOC
88%
10%
3%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
HON
1 - 3
HON
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
HON
1 - 1
VER
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MIO
0 - 3
HON
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |