Fafe vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
FAF
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
FAF
0 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
FAR
1 - 1
FAF
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
FAF
0 - 0
VST
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1989 |
FAF
2 - 1
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
SCP
0 - 1
EST
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
SCP
6 - 0
OEL
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
19%
27%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
SCP
4 - 0
NAC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
CHA
2 - 1
SCP
17%
27%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |