Fafe vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
PEN
1 - 3
FAF
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
FAF
1 - 1
PEN
41%
22%
37%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
FAF
2 - 0
FEI
60%
19%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAF
95%
4%
1%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
FAB
0 - 1
FAF
69%
17%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1979 |
SPB
1 - 1
SCP
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
SCP
2 - 0
FAM
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCB
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |