Fafe vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
7º
6º
5
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 36 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 35 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 19 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 16 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 15 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80.5% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
FAF
64%
21%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 4
AMA
23%
25%
53%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 0
TRO
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 0
FAF
63%
21%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
SAO
67%
18%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |