Fafe vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CER
0 - 1
FAF
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FAM
4 - 0
FAF
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAF
0 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FAF
2 - 0
MIR
60%
22%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
FAF
26%
28%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
OSL
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VIA
1 - 1
SAN
52%
27%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PED
1 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
VIE
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |