Fafe vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
LEX
1 - 1
FAF
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FAF
1 - 2
OLH
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
FAF
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FAF
2 - 0
SCP
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 0
FAF
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 2
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COV
1 - 1
PEN
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
UNM
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ACA
3 - 2
PEN
51%
27%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 2
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |