Fafe vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PED
1 - 3
FAF
9%
21%
70%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FAF
7 - 0
TAI
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
OSL
1 - 4
FAF
9%
22%
69%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 1
FAF
14%
24%
62%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MER
2 - 2
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
TRO
20%
23%
56%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 2
MER
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
MIR
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |