Fafe vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+200%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 0
FAF
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FAF
3 - 0
BRA
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ATA
1 - 2
FAF
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 0
MIN
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
FAF
10%
21%
70%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MER
9 - 2
MON
86%
10%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
MER
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MER
4 - 0
ARO
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIZ
2 - 1
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
SMA
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |