Fafe vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
FAF
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PIN
3 - 0
FAF
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 0
FAF
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -10 |
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAF
93%
6%
2%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
SAL
1 - 2
FAF
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
RIB
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 2
MER
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
FAR
12%
18%
70%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | +1 |