Fafe vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+151%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FAF
2 - 1
MON
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
FAF
20%
26%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
FAF
1 - 0
MER
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
FAF
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 0
MIR
85%
12%
4%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
VIZ
3 - 3
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 3
BRA
17%
22%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
PED
0 - 0
MAR
36%
24%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 3
MER
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |