Fafe vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
11º
9º
30
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
FAF
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
12%
23%
65%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
FAF
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FAF
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAN
43%
30%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
VSC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAN
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
VAR
20%
27%
53%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +1 |