Fafe vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
7º
6º
15
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 36 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 35 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 19 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 16 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 15 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
FAF
64%
21%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 4
AMA
23%
25%
53%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 0
TRO
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 0
FAF
63%
21%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ELE
0 - 2
AMA
10%
19%
71%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
LUS
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 4
AMA
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
AMA
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 1
ANA
77%
15%
7%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |