Fafe vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 0
TRO
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 0
FAF
63%
21%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
FAF
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 0
VIL
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
AMA
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 1
ANA
77%
15%
7%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 3
AMA
24%
29%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
TRO
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
AMA
21%
26%
54%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |