Faetano vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
70%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FOL
4 - 1
FAE
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 0
CAI
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 2
FAE
79%
15%
7%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 1
DOM
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 3
TPE
8%
17%
76%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
DOM
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 1
VIR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 2
SMA
72%
19%
10%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 1
VIR
16%
23%
62%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |