Faetano vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAI
2 - 1
FAE
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
FAE
1 - 0
SGI
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FAE
0 - 2
TPE
8%
17%
75%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 3
FAE
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 4
TPE
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SGI
0 - 0
VIR
35%
22%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 4
JUV
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 1
COS
26%
24%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CAI
3 - 2
VIR
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |