Faetano vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 3
DOM
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 0
FAE
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
4 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
TPE
3 - 0
FAE
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SGI
1 - 2
FAE
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
VIR
15%
20%
65%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
3 - 0
SGI
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |