Faetano vs San Marino Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 2
SGI
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 3
VIR
9%
21%
70%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FOL
4 - 1
FAE
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 0
CAI
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 2
FAE
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 5
COS
15%
23%
61%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
1 - 3
SMA
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | +3 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
FIO
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
JUV
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 2
SMA
72%
19%
10%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | 0 |