Faetano vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 3
VIR
9%
21%
70%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FOL
4 - 1
FAE
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 0
CAI
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 2
FAE
79%
15%
7%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 1
DOM
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 1
LIB
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
SGI
77%
17%
7%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
SGI
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 1
FOL
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SGI
1 - 3
TPE
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |