Faetano vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 2
FAE
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DOM
1 - 0
FAE
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FAE
2 - 4
VIR
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 1
DOM
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
FAE
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
MUR
27%
23%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TFI
3 - 1
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SGI
2 - 5
DOM
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 0
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
4 - 1
SGI
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |