Faetano vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FAE
4 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 0
FAE
62%
20%
17%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FAE
2 - 4
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 3
FAE
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 0
TPE
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 2
SGI
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 1
FIO
69%
16%
14%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 2
SGI
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |