Faetano vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 1
FAE
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 1
FAE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 0
FIO
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 0
FAE
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
DOM
0 - 1
FAE
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAI
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 4
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SGI
1 - 4
PEN
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |