Faetano vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 1
FAE
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FAE
0 - 1
PEN
47%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 2
FAE
57%
22%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 2
FAE
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 2
TPE
8%
13%
79%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
PEN
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 3
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 3
FOL
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
DOM
1 - 2
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +2 |