Faetano vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
CAI
3 - 2
FAE
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TFI
5 - 2
FAE
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FAE
1 - 3
JUV
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
FAE
2 - 0
FIO
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TPE
3 - 0
MUR
82%
14%
5%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
DOM
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
SGI
65%
18%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |