Faetano vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 1
FAE
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
FAE
3 - 5
TFI
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
DOM
0 - 2
FAE
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
FAE
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FAE
3 - 1
CAI
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
TPE
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
VIR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
3 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |