Faetano vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FAE
2 - 2
TFI
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FAE
1 - 4
FIO
10%
22%
68%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 0
FAE
53%
22%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
FAE
0 - 3
COS
18%
23%
58%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COS
4 - 1
FAE
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
LIB
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 4
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
COS
36%
27%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |