Faetano vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 1
FAE
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 1
SGI
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 2
FAE
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DOM
1 - 0
FAE
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
SGI
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 4
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
PEN
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 3
TPE
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |