Faetano vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 1
FAE
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
CAI
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAE
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
LIB
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
CAI
74%
18%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
6 - 1
CAI
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIB
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
LIB
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 4
REN
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
REN
4 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |