Faetano vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
12º
29
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 2
FAE
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 2
FAE
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
4 - 0
FAE
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 5
FAE
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 2
SGI
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
JUV
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 2
COS
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
1 - 1
JUV
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TPE
2 - 2
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |