Faetano vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 2
FAE
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
1 - 0
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
FAE
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
FAE
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FAE
0 - 1
FIO
10%
18%
73%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 4
FOL
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SGI
0 - 0
FOL
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
TFI
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
FOL
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |