Faetano vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
61%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
DOM
2 - 0
FAE
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 1
FAE
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
4 - 1
PEN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
12%
19%
69%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 5
FOL
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +2 |