Faetano vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FAE
0 - 1
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FAE
3 - 0
DOM
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
COS
2 - 2
FAE
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 0
SGI
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 2
FAE
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 2
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 4
FIO
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
CAI
2 - 2
FOL
37%
28%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 1
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |