Faetano vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 3
FAE
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FAE
1 - 3
TPE
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SGI
2 - 4
FAE
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 1
FAE
69%
21%
11%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DOM
2 - 5
FAE
64%
21%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 5
TFI
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |