Faetano vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 2
FAE
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 2
COS
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 2
MUR
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 0
FAE
28%
23%
49%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
COS
0 - 3
FAE
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 3
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
COS
2 - 1
PEN
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 2
COS
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 2
COS
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
COS
0 - 5
MUR
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -3 |