Faetano vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 2
FAE
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 1
DOM
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 3
TPE
8%
17%
76%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
FAE
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
FAE
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 3
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COS
9 - 0
CAI
86%
11%
3%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 2
SMA
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TPE
4 - 0
CAI
89%
9%
3%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 3
FIO
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |