Faetano vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAE
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
LIB
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
CAI
74%
18%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
FAE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 2
FAE
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 1
CAI
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
CAI
74%
18%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
20%
26%
54%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
TPE
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |