Faetano vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FAE
2 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 5
FAE
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FAE
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
MUR
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
COS
23%
24%
54%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
53%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 1
SGI
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |