Faetano vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
FAE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 2
FAE
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
FAE
2 - 0
FIO
21%
24%
56%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FAE
2 - 1
SGI
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
FAE
3 - 2
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
20%
26%
54%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
TPE
16%
22%
62%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
2 - 1
VIR
18%
24%
59%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 2
DOM
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
FAE
3 - 2
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |