FAC Wien vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
FAC
2 - 1
OST
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 1
FAC
50%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FAC
1 - 1
RIT
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
FCW
0 - 2
FAC
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
FAC
1 - 1
PAR
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 4
BAU
67%
19%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
OST
3 - 1
BAU
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 3
AUS
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAT
0 - 0
BAU
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 1
SVH
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |