FAC Wien vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
OST
3 - 0
FAC
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
FAC
2 - 0
SVH
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
FCW
4 - 2
FAC
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
FAC
1 - 1
SCH
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
NEU
2 - 2
FAC
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
BAU
3 - 1
ZWE
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WIE
4 - 1
BAU
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
WIE
5 - 1
BAU
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 0
GAF
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
0 - 4
PAR
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -3 |