Fabril CD vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 0
FAB
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FAB
0 - 1
HIS
46%
21%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAB
42%
21%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FAB
1 - 1
SLC
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COD
3 - 2
FAB
21%
19%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAI
0 - 0
POD
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 2
NAI
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PDV
3 - 2
NAI
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NAI
2 - 1
NAR
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HIS
2 - 0
NAI
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |