Fabril CD vs Barcia CF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
FAB
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FAB
1 - 1
CON
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 3
FAB
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FAB
2 - 1
MAN
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FAB
2 - 0
TRE
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcia CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
POD
53%
21%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TRI
4 - 0
BAR
38%
22%
41%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAI
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 1
BAR
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HIS
1 - 2
BAR
48%
22%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |