Fabril Barreiro vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 2
FAB
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPC
47%
22%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 2
BEL
24%
24%
53%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
FCP
3 - 1
FAB
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 0
ACA
63%
19%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
VST
0 - 4
BEL
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 1
VST
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
VST
2 - 1
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
LGC
2 - 2
VST
52%
22%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |