Fabril Barreiro vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 0
FAB
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 2
VST
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
4 - 2
FAB
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
FAB
1 - 3
SLB
24%
22%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCB
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
ACA
7 - 2
VIT
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
VIT
2 - 0
BMA
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
BEL
2 - 1
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VIT
3 - 2
SCP
40%
24%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |