Fabril Barreiro vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
VST
3 - 1
FAB
69%
16%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
FAB
4 - 1
ATL
45%
22%
34%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
ACA
5 - 1
FAB
69%
16%
15%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 2
FAB
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
FAB
0 - 2
FCP
25%
22%
53%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
VIT
2 - 0
BOA
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
VIT
1 - 0
LGC
53%
21%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
VIT
0 - 0
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |