Fabril Barreiro vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
FAB
2 - 3
SLB
12%
16%
72%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
OLH
5 - 1
FAB
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
UNI
9 - 3
FAB
60%
18%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ACA
7 - 2
FAB
70%
15%
15%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
VIT
7 - 1
LEX
83%
10%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
SLB
8 - 3
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
BEL
12 - 0
VIT
83%
10%
7%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
VIT
2 - 4
SCP
22%
19%
60%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1942 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
77%
13%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -2 |