Fabril Barreiro vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 3
VOJ
43%
22%
36%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
FCP
4 - 0
FAB
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1967 |
VOJ
1 - 0
FAB
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
FAB
0 - 1
SCP
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAB
81%
13%
7%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
VAR
0 - 1
TIR
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
LEX
3 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
VAR
3 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VST
1 - 0
VAR
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAR
48%
21%
32%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |