Fabril Barreiro vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAB
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
FAB
2 - 2
VIT
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 0
FAB
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 2
VST
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 2
ACA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
BEL
3 - 1
VAR
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 2
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |